What is Cupdiction?
Cupdiction is a prediction market platform built on Solana.
You buy shares in YES or NO outcomes on real-world events. If your prediction is correct, each share pays out $1.00. If it’s wrong, your shares expire worthless.
Markets are priced automatically using a mathematical model called LMSR — which means prices reflect the crowd’s collective probability estimate, updated in real time as people trade.
Core idea
Every market has a question with a binary answer:
- YES — the event happens
- NO — the event doesn’t happen
Example: “Will $DFLASH graduate to DAMM v2 within 24 hours?”
- If you buy YES at 30¢ and the token graduates → you receive $1.00 per share (profit: 70¢)
- If the token doesn’t graduate → your shares expire at $0 (loss: 30¢)
The price of a share in cents equals the market’s implied probability in percent. A YES price of 30¢ means the crowd believes there’s a 30% chance the event happens.
What makes Cupdiction different
Cupdiction runs on Solana with non-custodial wallets. Your keys, your funds — we never hold your assets.
| Feature | Detail |
|---|---|
| Chain | Solana (low fees, fast settlement) |
| Custody | Non-custodial — Privy embedded wallet or your own Solana wallet |
| Currencies | USDC, USDT, SOL |
| Pricing | LMSR automated market maker — no order book needed |
| Settlement | Atomic on-chain via smart contract |
| Resolution | Automated oracle with on-chain verification |
Current focus
Cupdiction is currently in Mainnet Preview. Real trading opens June 8, 2026.
The first live vertical is Bags.fm — prediction markets on Solana token launches and fee races between established tokens.
→ Continue to How Prediction Markets Work